ECOFIRS

ECOFIRS

ECOFIRS rebounded with high volume and stay above 20MA. Next level to watch 0.245.

Happy Trading and Trade cautiously!

28 November 2013

LATITUD

LATITUD has been on uptrend for quite some time. Today shoot up with high volume and gap up. More upside to see and the next level to watch is 1.68. 

The Q3 result itself is pretty good and with good dividend (0.063).

Trader might watch for retrace to enter.

SUPERMX

SUPERMX might trade higher due to the stronger USD (might say weakening RM). The major resistance of 2.81 must be broken in order for it to move higher. Conservative trader might wait for the resistance breakout. 

Traders who want to enter might wait for the resistance of 1.42 to break out. High volume traded today but unable to break the resistance. 

*Looks like people still 'goreng".. (just personal opinion)

DAIBOCI trading at all time high with gap up today. More upside expected if high volume coming in. DAIBOCI has been trading in sideway and maybe this is time for it to go higher??

Resistance breakout at 2.38 with high volume might be the good chance for trader to enter as this counter is consolidating currently. More likely for this counter to trend higher as the prior trend is uptrend.

MYEG is forming a higher high and higher low after the previous retracement. More upside can be expected if resistance of 2.62 breaks. 

Daily Reporting

28 Nov 2013

DJIA: 16097.33 (+24.53/+0.15%)
S&P: 1807.23 (+4.48/0.25%)
Nasdaq: 4044.75 (+27.00/+0.67%)
USD/MYR: 3.230
Oil: 92.31
Gold: 1237.20
M'sia 10yr bond: 4.04%
Y'day bursa trade stats:
Local in'tion: nett buy 81.3 mil
Retailer: nett sell 31.5 mil
Foreign fund: nett sell 49.8 mil

Discussion Zone

ANCOM (0048)

Request from Wil Lim

Counter is trading on sideway and formed symmetrical triangle. The symmetrical triangle was broken with high volume on 26/11/2013. The projected profit target would be on 0.415 but the 0.405 should be the more significant resistance to break out first. 

Be cautious since black candle appeared on 27/11/2013.
Trade cautiously with penny stock.

22 DECEMBER

CENSOF

CENSOF is on the downtrend since rally on last month. Volume is obviously diminishing substantially and can said as not much people is interested on this stock.
If you found this stock has good fundamental then you might hold for long term.

But if for trading, then probably you have to wait it to rebound.

KULIM

KULIM having massive sell down in the past 3 trading days. The candlestick pattern on last trading day show it might be a pause and possible to have a short term rebound. However, if it failed to rebound, next level to watch is RM3.25.

Don't catch a falling knife~

AAX

AAX

Downtrend is taking place.
AAX trading lower and lower.
Don't trade against the trend until reversal sign appear.
May watch for the breakout from the upper band of trend line.

BENALEC

BENALEC

Technical Analysis

Downtrend since JUNE. Phychological level RM1 must be break in order for it to move.
Currently no reversal sign appear and the sell down with high volume might indicate that the investors are not optimistic with the company.
Quarterly result came out with negative figure.
Watch for RM1.

27 November 2013

Follow up MYEG (26 Nov 2013)

MYEG breakout from symmetrical triangle with high volume.

Next level to watch is 2.83.
http://sheng-equitiesmalaysia.blogspot.com/2013/11/cscenic-and-myeg.html
Below is the post from yesterday.

DAYA

DAYA rebounded to 20MA with high volume. More upside expected. Stochastic crossver at oversold zone triggered bullish signal.  

CUSCAPI

Hammer formed at the recent low. Wait for rebound and better to be accompanied with high volume.

Be patient and wait for break out from 100MA.

3 key Points on Trading

3 key points that you need to have during trading:

1. Enter only when you are confident

2. Discipline

3. Patience and Don't be greedy.

Fast money doesn't last long. High risk counter always give high return but also cause you lose a lot.
Trade only on quality counter which it needs your patience to achieve good return!

brem（被低估的小型地产股）

brem（被低估的小型地产股）

现价：1.22
目标价：2.50
信心指数：40%
期限：3年

投资看点：
1）拥有639acre土地。多数在klang那一带，而且多年土地未重估
2）公司拥有2.8亿订单。而且目前竞标着2亿的工程
3）公司拥有51%PNG （在papua new guinea经营水务业）而且盈利贡献逐渐稳定
4）负债不高，现金：0.5亿，银行贷款：1.1亿
5）公司在segambut，bukit prima pelangi 房屋发展计划，发展总值高达：15亿
6）拥有kepong brem mall，net lentable space=650,000sq ft
7）公司这五年都派股息，dividend yield>3%

公司total landbank如下：
1）Jalan 222, Petaling Jaya =1acre
2）Setia Wangsa, Kuala Lumpur =39.0 acre
3）Commercial land around Brem Mall, Jalan Kepong =1.0 acre
4）Residential Land in Kelana Jaya =1.5 acre
5）Mixed Converted Development Land in Bukit Subang, Shah Alam =50.0acre
6）Bukit Prima Pelangi, Segambut Dalam, Kuala Lumpur =39.3 acre
7）Mukim Kapar, Klang and Mukim Bkt Raja, Daerah Petaling =400.0 acre
8）Kuala Lumpur, Petaling Jaya, Sg Petani =99.1 acre

由于这些土地都是由brem子公司持有，所以按比例列出来：
1）brem holding =108acre (公司持股100%）
2）Harmony property=77acre（公司持股75%）
3）Titi Kaya sdn bhd=173acre（公司持股50.53%）
4）Eng Ann realty=126acre（公司持股50.53%）
5）Npo builder sdn bhd=46acre（公司持股25%）

后语：续ecoworld大笔出手买下focal大半股权，地仓庞大的brem会否是ecoworld下个目标呢？

SCC

SCC is a good dividend stock which paid out around 10% of dividend last year. Price shoot up after the quarter result released which made profit for Q3 2013. 

SBCCORP

SBCCORP spike up after lunch hour today together with volume.
More upside to see if it breaks resistance 1.32 with high volume.

CSCENIC and MYEG

CSCENIC is one of the value investing stock which gives high dividend. 2 hammer and 1 inverted hammer formed. Wait for rebound confirmation to enter.

MYEG spike up from 20MA with high volume. Bullish triggered. Next level to watch 2.62.
MYEG is well supported by 20MA. Traders who missed can wait for pull back on 20MA.

MTDACPI

Sorry as I am busy recently and no update blog for sometime.
Traders can watch for this stock as high volume came in periodically. Big boys are inside.
20MA crossed all MAs which is a good sign as uptrend is intact. However, resistance of 0.545 must be cleared in order for it to go further north.

【銀行存款的理財技巧】

1、面對利率不斷調降之際，可以考慮降低存款比例，存款以利息較佳的中期定存為主，另外再輔以國債或其它較具成長潛力的投資工具作為投資方式。

2、在定存到期前，若未來利率有上漲可能，即可採取浮動利率，若各銀行利率或放款利率看跌，則應採取固定利率。一來避免利率風險，二來可算出未來收益以便再運作。

3、一般而言，定存金額為每月收入的三至六倍是合理的，原因是如果暫時因離職、生病等因素暫停收入來源時，還能靠定存維持三到六個月的生活水準。

4、利用定存每月所產生的利息，以定期定額方式投資在共同基金。由於是“利息”投資在較高也是較高風險的基金上，最壞的狀況是利息賠掉了，最好的狀況是利滾利，創造比原先利息更多的收益；目前外資銀行紛紛推出定存基金理財套餐就屬此類，相當受到定存客戶的歡迎。

5、用開立“綜合存款”的方式辦理定存，“綜合存款”是一本存摺內同時有活存與定存兩種。

Contra Trading

Contra trading in Singapore is basically buying and selling a stock without forking out any cash. So if one were to buy a stock on Monday, one can sell on any following day till next Monday(T+5) without paying for the stock. Once you contra, you either gain the profit or pay for the losses incurred. This form of trading has been favored by retail traders due to the convenience of no upfront settlement, which gives them the ability to rotate their funds to other counters for more flexibility. 

Some may not realize that contra trading is also a leveraging machine which can be geared infinitely. You can buy infinite times more than what you can actually pay as long as you have the trading limit to do so. If you have multiple accounts, your risk will be multiplied exponentially. Hence the only risk mitigation you have is your personal trading limit. This means that this form of trading has the potential to be riskier than most of the derivatives out there. This is also one of the reason why derivatives like ES(extended settlement), CFD, Futures and Options trading are currently lukewarm in Singapore. 

This being said, Singapore and Malaysia are currently the only two countries that allows contra trading. This system of trading is also giving a boost to our local market as it is provides a source of important liquidity. It also enables investors/traders to catch more opportunities when they see them. In a strictly non contra system of trading, one cannot sell their purchased shares until the shares are fully paid up, this means they have to park money in their trust and top up when it is used up. This makes for more down time and down time may not be favorable for traders. 

Contra trading is a system that is beneficial for our local market as it provides the necessary liquidity to our market and the convenience for retail traders. However, it is susceptible to abuse to those who are oblivious to the risk involved. It is analogous to a knife, you can use it for convenience(slicing fruits) or harm(murder). So analogously, we shouldn't ban the knife because it can cause harm, but rather, we should punish those who use it to cause harm to others

NOTION

High volume came in on 15/11/2013.
Traders may watch if any big player coming in.
Quarterly result may coming out soon.
Watch for any good news.
Happy Trading!

OCK

OCK rebounded from 20MA.
Next level to watch is 0.835.
Trade cautiously!

Tips by Warren Buffet

MMODE

MMODE had dropped 13% after reached its all time high.
However, the price dropping with low volume.
Inverted hammer formed today.
Traders may watch for rebound since it trading at oversold zone.

股票的内在价值

哲学中，内在价值是指一个对象或者一次实践的价值是其内在的衍生，用通俗的话来说，就是一种不受外来因素影响的价值。股票也具有不受市场价格波动影响的稳定的内在价值。且内在价值是价值型投资者选股时会重点考量的因素。现实生活中，有些买家仅仅是凭直觉来估计某个商品的价格，他们不会深入考察其生产成本，只会粗略估计可以从中得到的期望效用。另一些买家则是根据大众的反应（“口口相传的商品，一定很不错！”）而做出购买决策。但在本文中，我们会用另一种方式来研究股票的内在价值，通过分析其基本面，确定股票固有的不受市场影响的那部分价值，从而帮助投资者减少主观判断的失误。

股票内在价值的重要性

为什么股票的内在价值对投资者如此重要？通过上述模型，分析师可以确定股票当前的市场价格是否高于或低于其内在价值，从而将其归类与“价值低估股”或“价值高估股”。市场中股票的价格是由股票的内在价值所决定的：当市场步入调整的时候，市场资金偏紧，股票的价格一般会低于股票内在价值；当市场处于上升期的时候，市场资金充裕，股票的价格一般高于其内在价值。总之股市中股票的价格就是围绕股票的内在价值上下波动的。通常情况下，在计算股票的内在价值时，投资者可以先确定一个适当的安全边际，即市场价格可能低于我们所估计的内在价值的可能性。在较低的市场价格和你的估值中间留一定的“缓冲”空间，那即使当股价低于你的估计，你的损失也不会太大。

例如，假设你发现某家公司有着良好基本面和可观的现金流。它的股价为每股10元，在计算贴现现金流后，你发现它的内在价值接近每股15元，即其市场价格比你估计的内在价值低了5元。如果你设定的安全边际约为35%，那么你就可以以10元买入该股。假如一年后，该股的内在价值下降到12元，这个价格仍然比你的买入价高了2元，所以仍然有较大的盈利空间。

对于一个初学者而言，不论是对公司的研究，还是进行正确的投资决策，内在价值都是一个非常重要的概念。尽管它并非衡量公司经营状况的完美标准，股票的内在价值仍为我们提供了正确评估股价的绝佳参考。

结语

每个估值模型都会受到市场风险、波动性以及投资者非理性行为的影响。在投资时先考虑下公司的内在价值，尽管这无法保证你的投资必然盈利，但它却可以清晰地显示公司的财务状况，这对于长期投资者而言尤为重要。此外，通过计算内在价值，你可以选择出那些市场价格低于内在价值的股票，从而帮助你节约构建投资组合的成本。

虽然股票价格在一段时间内会保持上升趋势，但如果当时股价是被高估的，那你也最好等到股价低于其内在价值时再进行交易。这样不仅可以避免遭受过大的损失，也留下了足够的资金空间进行更安全的投资，如债券和国库券。

CUSCAPI

CUSCAPI rebounded from 50MA.
Currently trading in oversold zone.
Set your stop loss!
My personal opinion to set stop loss is 0.405.
Happy Trading!

MBL

MBL rebounded from 20 Moving Average.
Next level to watch 1.14.
Stop loss = 1.04.
Happy Trading!

PADINI

PADINI rebounded and the next level to watch is 1.80.
Trade cautiously when market is unstable!
Stop loss = 1.62
Happy Trading!

E&O

E&O rebounded from oversold zone and with high volume.
Next level to watch is 2.22.
Trade cautiously and set your stop loss!
Happy trading!